Modeling with Impact

EcoMod2004

Ferdy ADAM
Modelling a Small Open Economy: What is Different? The Case of Luxembourg

Marcel ADENÄUER, Kamel LOUHICHI, Bruno HENRY DE FRAHAN, Heinz Peter WITZKE.
Impact of the "Everything but Arms" Initiative on the EU Sugar Sub-Sector

Pierre-Richard AGÉNOR , Derek H. C. CHEN , Michael GRIMM
Linking Representative Household Models with Household Surveys for Poverty Analysis: A Comparison of Alternative Methodologies,

Pierre Richard AGÉNOR, Nihal BAYRAKTAR, Karim EL AYNAOUI
Roads out of Poverty? Assessing the Link between Aid, Public Investment, Growth and Poverty Reduction

Alvaro AGUIAR, Oscar AFONSO
Human Capital Accumulation and Wage Inequality with Scale-Independent North-South Technological Diffusion

Alvaro AGUIAR, Ana Paula RIBEIRO
Effects of Labor Market Reform on the Efficiency of Monetary Policy

Yunus AKSOY, Miguel LEON-LEDESMA
Interest Rates and Output in the Long Run

Robert ALEXANDER, Mohammad JAFORULLAH
Explaining Efficiency Differences of New Zealand Secondary Schools

Robert ALEXANDER, Murat GENC, Mohammad JAFORULLAH
Gender and Ethnicity in the New Zealand Labour Market

Ignazio ANGELONI, Anil K. KASHYAP, Benoît MOJON, Daniele TERLIZZESE
Monetary Transmission in the Euro Area: Does the Interest Rate Channel Explain All?

Alfonso ARPAIA, Giuseppe CARONE
Do Labour Taxes (and their Composition) Affect Wages in the Short and the Long Run?

Erdal ATUKEREN
Interactions Between Public and Private Investment: Evidence from Developing Countries

Mohammad BAKHSHOODEH, M ZIBAEI
An Alternative Markup Pricing and Protection Rate: Evidence From Wheat in Iran

Madhu BALA
Digital Sector and Foreign Direct Investment - A Case of India

Fabrizio BALASSONE, Maura FRANCESE
Cyclical Asymmetry in Fiscal Policy, Debt Accumulation and the Treaty of Maastricht

Vladimir BARANOV, Viktor DVURECHENSKIKH
On the "Response-Diffusion" Model in US Economic Safety Problem

Raul BARRETO
A Model of State Infrastructure with Decentralized Public Agents: Theory and Evidense

Maurizio BAUSSOLA, Laura BARBIERI
Aggregate Demand and Supply and the Labour Market Within a Regional Econometric Model

Selahattin BEKMEZ, Cem Mehmet BAYDUR, Esat BAKIMLI
Inflation Uncertainty and Risk Premium in Interest Rates: Case of Turkey

Selahattin BEKMEZ, Omer FARUK COLAK
A Political Preference Analysis for Informal Labor Force in Turkey

Ansgar BELKE, Jens H. HEINE
Specialisation Patterns and the Synchronicity of Regional Employment Cycles in Europe

Peter BENCZUR
Real Effects of Nominal Shocks: a 2-Sector Dynamic Model with Slow Capital Adjustment and Money-in-the-Utility

Fabien BESSON, Racem MEHDI
Is WTO Dispute Settlement System Biased Against Developing Countries? An Empirical Analysis

Olena BILAN , Boriss SILIVERSTOVS
Modelling Inflation Dynamics in Transition Economies: The Case of Ukraine

Serap BINDEBIR
Intergovernmental Finance and Local Government System in Turkey: Experiences and Lessons to be Learned from Poland

Adam BLAKE, M. Thea SINCLAIR
Tourism and EU Accession in Malta and Cyprus

Stefan BOETERS, Michael FEIL, Nicole GÜRTZGEN
Discrete Working Time Choice in an Applied General Equilibrium Model

Jean BOISSINOT , Clotilde L’ANGEVIN, Brieuc MONFORT
Assessing Sustainability of Fiscal Policy in France: an I(2) Analysis

Tiziana BRANCACCIO
Land Contract as a Two-sided Occupational Choice: New Evidence of Risk-Sharing in India

Jean-Louis BRILLET, Anna KRUSZEWSKA
The Consequences of EU Accession for Poland - Simulations Using the MacSim System

Vesna BUCEVSKA
A Macroeconometric Model for the Republic of Macedonia

Jeroen BUYSSE , Bruno FERNAGUT , Olivier HARMIGNIE , Bruno HENRY DE FRAHAN , Ludwig LAUWERS, Philippe POLOMÉ, Guido VAN HUYLENBROECK, Jef VAN MEENSEL
Modelling the Impact of Sugar Reform on Belgian Agriculture

Nicola CANTORE, Vania PACCAGNAN
Factors Determining Environmental Kuznets Curve: Sustainability Assessment and Implications for Policy Makers

M. Alejandro CARDENETE , M. Carmen LIMA
Multiplier Decomposition Within Regional SAMs: the Case of Andalusia

Rita CASTELLANI
Pricing Policy for Urban Transport in Europe: Looking for an Efficient Solution

Efrem CASTELNUOVO
Regime Shifts and the Stability of Backward Looking Phillips Curves in Open Economies

Cristina CATTANEO
The Determinants of Actual Migration and the Role of Wages and Unemployment in Albania: an Empirical Analysis

Kriengsak CHAREONWONGSAK
Impact Assessment of Thailand’s Promotion of Strategic Export Industries: A Computable General Equilibrium Model (CGE) Approach

Romulo CHUMACERO , Solange BERSTEIN
Quantifying the Costs of Investment Limits for Chilean Pension Funds

Susmita DASGUPTA , Piet BUYS , Kexnneth M. CHOMITZ, Uwe DEICHMANN, Craig M. MEISNER, David R. WHEELER , et al
The Economics of Regional Poverty-Environment Programs: An Application For Lao PDR

Ralph DE HAAS , Marga PEETERS
The Dynamic Adjustment towards Target Capital Structures of Firms in Transition Economies

Sebastian de RAMON
ICT in a Model of Technology Embedded in Investment

André DRAMAIS
Goodwin "Growth-Cycle Model and the NAIRU

Sophie DROGUE, Stephan MARETTE, Priscila RAMOS
Product Differentiation and Trade: An Example From the Bovine Meat Sector

Jarita DUASA
The Effectiveness of Malaysian Capital Outflow Controls of 1998

Eric DUBOIS
A Simple Politico-Economic Model to Predict Vote and Growth in France

Gilles DUFRENOT , Alain SAND
Structural Reforms, Macroeconomic Policies and the Future of Kazakhstan Economy

Balázs ÉGERT , Kirsten LOMMATZSCH
Equilibrium Real Exchange Rates in Acceding Countries: How Large is Our Confidence (Interval)?

Aziz ELBEHRI
MFA Quota Removal and Global Textile and Cotton Trade: Estimating Quota Trade Restrictiveness and Quantifying Post-MFA Trade Patterns

Ahmed EL-SHAARAWI
Voluntary Export Restraints (VERs) and the Question of Quality Upgrading

Omar FERABOLI
A Dynamic Multisectoral Analysis of Jordan's Trade Liberalisation

Alex Luiz FERREIRA
Are Real Interest Differentials Caused by Frictions in Goods or Assets Markets, Real or Nominal Shocks?

Christos FLOROS , Pierre FAILLER
Development of a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model for Fisheries

James FOREMAN-PECK, Laurian LUNGU
A Supply-Side Regional Econometric Model of Wales

Ulrich FRITSCHE, Vladimir KOUZINE
Prediction of Business Cycle Turning Points in Germany

Oliver FRITZ, Gerhard STREICHER
Measuring Changes in Regional Competitiveness Over Time - a Shift-Share Regression Exercise

Jan GADOMSKI
Dynamics of Loans in Polish Banking System

Pawel GAJEWSKI, Jakub KOWALSKI
Price Convergence in the European Union Countries

Joey GHALEB, Sébastien DESSUS
Lebanon - Between Market Liberalization and Fiscal Consolidation: A General Equilibrium Analysis with Imperfect Competition

Alexandre GOHIN, Giancarlo MOSCHINI
Evaluating the Market and Welfare Impacts of Agricultural Policies in Developed Countries: Comparison of Partial and General Equilibrium Measures

Adriana GRIGORESCU, Constantin BOB
Add Value Model for Romanian’s Export Products

Gulay GUNLUK-SENESEN, Umit SENESEN,
Structural Change in Import Dependency of Production: Turkey, 1973-1996

Haykel HADJ SALEM
Impacts of the Euro-Tunisian Agreements of Free Exchange: Evaluation by a Computable General Equilibrium Model in 1996

Steve HARRISON, Nick EMTAGE, John HERBOHN, Tyron VENN
Designing, Developing and Testing Financial Models for Non-industrial Private Forestry

Tor Hugo HAUGE , Frank ASCHE
Pricing to Market in Norwegian Seafood Exports

Xinhua HE, Haiying Wu, Shiguo LIU, Ling WANG
China_QEM: A Quarterly Macroeconometric Model of China

Santiago HERRERA, Fernando BLANCO
The Quality of Brazilian Fiscal Adjustment, 1999 - 2001

Bodo HERZOG
European Monetary Union and Fiscal Policy Sustainability

Oliver HOLTEMÖLLER
Quantifying the Effects of Abandoning National Monetary Policy

Elena IANCHOVICHINA
Duty Drawbacks, Competitiveness and Growth: Should China Reform its Duty Drawback System?

Susana IRANZO
Trade Liberalization, Agglomeration and Public Policies: the Case of the European Regional Policies

Olfa JABALLI, Sebnem SAHIN
Green Accounting and Climate Change Problem: A New Evidence from the Turkish Economy

Roselyne JOYEUX
Interest Linkages Between the US, UK, French and German Interest Rates: A Test of the German Dominance Hypothesis

Yoshiki KAGO
An Empirical Study on the Nuisance Facilities Impact on the Property Value

Steffen KALLBEKKEN, Ottar MAESTAD, Nathan RIVE
The Cost of Sectoral Differentiation of Climate Policy: The Case of the EU Emissions Trading Scheme

Ilga KARLSONE, Ilmars SKARDS, Ella SKVORCOVA
The Effect of Trade Partners Economic Stability on Economic Development of Latvia

Lutz KILIAN , Simone MANGANELLI
Quantifying the Risk of Deflation

Hasan KIRMANOGLU, Nejat ANBARCI
Individualism and Growth Volatility

Michael KOHLHAAS, Herbert BRÜCKER
International Migration to Germany: A CGE-Analysis of Labour Market Impact

Michael KOHLHAAS, Martin CAMES, Jochen DIEKMANN, Dieter SCHUMACHER, Katja SCHUMACHER
Economic, Environmental and International Trade Effects of the EU Directive on Energy Tax Harmonization

Andre KOLODZIEJAK , Jan PEIL
Preference Dynamics and Potential Growth, Getting the Work Done by Friday

Georgios KOURETAS , Angelos KANAS
Regime Dependence between the Official and Parallel Foreign Currency Markets for US Dollars in Greece

Hannu KOSKINEN
Modelling of Structural Changes in Demand for Money Cointegration Relations

Michael KRAIL, Wolfgang SCHADE
Quantification of Scenarios for Long-Term Economic and Transport Trends with ASTRA

Kurt KRATENA
Intra-Industry Trade and Input Demand

Hans KREMERS , Claudia KEMFERT, Truong TRUONG
A Computable General Equilibrium Assessment of Clean Development Projects

Xavier LABANDEIRA , José M. LABEAGA , Miguel RODRÍGUEZ
Effects of Green Tax Reforms in Spain. A New Analytical Approach Integrating Micro and Macro-Economic Models

David LABORDE, Jean SÉBASTIEN
The Impact of Multilateral Liberalisation on European Regions: a CGE Assessment

David LABORDE, Antoine BOUËT
National Interests, Coalitions and Rules of Decision in Multilateral Trade Negotiations

Mario LARCH
The Home Market Effect in Models with Multinational Enterprises

Miguel LEBRE DE FREITAS
Currency Substitution, Portfolio Diversification and Money Demand

Sophia LEVTCHENKOVA, Jeffrey D PETCHEY
Fiscal Equalisation and Efficiency

Hans LOFGREN, Sherman ROBINSON, Moataz El-SAID
Poverty and Inequality Analysis in a General Equilibrium Framework: The Representative Household Approach

Camille LOGEAY, Sven SCHREIBER
Evaluating the Effectiveness of the French Work-Sharing Reform

Jesus LÓPEZ-RODRÍGUEZ , J.Andrés FAÍÑA-MEDÍN
Regional Policy, Regional Inequalities and Enlargement of the European Union

Helmut MAIER
Are Economic Goals and Goals of Environmental Protection Compatible? Explaining Paths to a Sustainable Economy

Helmut MAIER
Is There an Economic System in the Nature? Results of a Hedonic Approach Including a Vision to Explain and Meet Problems of Human Societies

Carlos MARTINEZ-MONGAY, Fernando BALLABRIGA
Sustainability of EU Public Finances

Alain MAURIN , Jean Gabriel MONTAUBAN
State Space Models, Vector Autoregression and Bayesian VAR: a Competition for the Forecasting of French Economic Variables

Racem MEHDI
The Sustainable Cooperative Tariffs: a Political Economy Perspective

Christian MÜLLER
Interpretation of Cointegration Coefficients - A Paradox, a Solution and Empirical Evidence

Christian MÜLLER, Ulrich BUSCH
Despite or Because - Lessons of German Unification for EU Enlargement?

Knud Jorgen MUNK
Tax-Tariff Reform with Costs of Tax Administrations

Khusnia MURADOVA
Uzbek Macroeconomic Model with Elements of Market Equilibrium (New Edition).

Hong NGUYEN, Michael O. MENSAH
An Empirical Study of the Impact of Finance on Production and Growth

Felicitas NOWAK-LEHMANN, Inmaculada MARTÍNEZ-ZARZOSO
Would MERCOSUR´s Exports to the EU Profit from Trade Liberalisation ? Some General Insights and a Simulation Study for Argentina

Vijay OJHA
Trade-Off Between Carbon Emissions, Economic Growth and Poverty Reduction in India

Luca ONORANTE
Fiscal Convergence Before Entering the EMU

Vicente PAQUEO , Christian GONZALEZ
Social Sector Expenditures and Rainy-Day Funds

Sergey PALTSEV, John REILLY, Trent YANG
Air Pollution Health Effects: Toward an Integrated Assessment

Eric PENOT, O. DEHEUVELS, Ph. Le GRUSSE, M. LEBARS, J.M. ATTONATY,
Farming System Modelling in Tropical Agriculture Using the Software "Olympe"

Pedro PEREZ-VAZQUEZ , Denise OSBORN , Michael ARTIS
The International Business Cycle in a Changing World:Volatility and the Propagation of Shocks

M. Hashem PESARAN, Til SCHUERMANN, Björn-Jakob TREUTLER, Scott M. WEINER
Macroeconomic Dynamics and Credit Risk: A Global Perspective

Rafaela PIZARRO-BARCELÓ
A Bank Lending Channel of Monetary Policy in Spain: Evidence from Bank Balance Sheets

Bas POSTEMA , Peter VAN BERGEIJK, Marie GOPPELSRÖDER
Costs and Benefits of Merger Control in the Netherlands 1998-2002, An Applied Game Theoretic Analysis of Prices

Duo QIN , Xinhua HE, Pilipinas QUISING, Shiguo LIU,
Modeling Monetary Policies in China (PRC)

Duo QIN
Is China’s Rising Service Sector Leading to Cost Disease?

Andras REZESSY, Attila CSAJBÓK
Hungary’s Eurozone Entry Date: What Do the Markets Think and What If They Change Their Mind?

Konrad RICHTER
Revenue Equivalence Revisited: Bounded Rationality in Auctions

Stefan RIED
New Keynesian Open Economy Models versus the Six Major Puzzles in International Macroeconomics

Angi RÖSCH, Harald SCHMIDBAUER
The Dependency of Extreme Returns on Stock Indices Across Borders in Bull and Bear Periods

Roberto ROSON
A General Equilibrium Analysis of Climate Change Impacts: Methodology and Early Results

Boriss SILIVERSTOVS , Niklas AHLGREN, Mikael JUSELIUS
Econometric Modelling of the Inflation Process in the Transition Economies. With application to the Baltic states

Blanca SANCHEZ-ROBLES , Nuria SANCHEZ-SANCHEZ, Pablo COTO MILLAN
Unions, Wages and Productivity. The Spanish Case, 1986-2000

Blanca SANCHEZ-ROBLES, Adolfo MAZA FERNANDEZ
An Attempt to Modelize the ECB Monetary Policy

Burkhard SCHADE
Evaluating Economic Feasibility and Technical Progress of Environmentally Sustainable Scenarios by a Backcasting Approach with ESCOT

Andrei SEMENOV
Asset Pricing with Idiosyncratic Consumption Risk and Limited Participation

Andrei SEMENOV
High-Order Consumption Moments and Asset Pricing

Willi SEMMLER, Wenlang ZHANG
Monetary Policy Rules with Nonlinear Philips Curve and Endogenous Nairu

Frédérique SIBI
Stability of Final Objective of the European Monetary Authorities

Stefano SIVIERO, Giovanni VERONESE
A Policy-Sensible Core-Inflation Measure for the Euro Area

Karsten STAEHR, Jaan MASSO
Inflation Dynamics and Nominal Adjustment in the Baltic States

David STIFEL, Jean-Claude RANDRIANARISOA
Rice Prices, Agricultural Input Subsidies, Transactions Costs and Seasonality: A Multi-Market Model Poverty and Social Impact Analysis (PSIA) for Madagascar

Adolf STROOMBERGEN, Kel SANDERSON, Andy HEINEMANN
Economic Evaluation of the Release of Genetically Modified Organisms in New Zealand

Caren SURETH, Dirk LANGELEH
Capital Gains Taxation Under Different Tax Regimes, Asset Pricing and Investment Decisions - a Monte-Carlo-Ssimulation of the Influence of Tax Systems on Dividend and Timing Behaviour

Armi SUSANDI
Future Emissions of Air Pollutants in Indonesia: SO2 and NOx

Rizwan TAHIR , Ahmed A. GHANI
Relationship Between Exchange Rates and Stock Prices: Empirical Evidence from Bahrain's Financial Markets

Massimo TAMBERI , Luca DE BENEDICTIS, Marco GALLEGATI
Overall Specialization and Development

Aurora Amélia Castro TEIXEIRA , Pedro COSME DA COSTA VIEIRA
Why Do Firms hire so Few Top Skilled Workers? A Model of Knowledge Transfer Within Firms

Salvatore TERREGROSSA
Accounting for Estimation Risk in CAPM-generated Forecasts of Firm Earnings Growth

Ulrich THIESSEN
Financial System Development, Regulation and Economic Growth: Evidence from Russia

Silvia TIEZZI
Addiction and Smoking Behaviour in Italy

Vincent TOUZE, Michel AGLIETTA, Jean CHATEAU, Gilles LE GARREC, Michel JUILLARD, Jacques LE CACHEUX
INGENUE v.2: a World OLG-CGE Model with Imperfect Financial Markets, Exchange Rates and Stochastic Lifetime

Thomas URL, Josef BAUMGARTNER, Helmut HOFER, Serguei KANIOVSKI, Andreas U. SCHUH
A Long-run Macroeconomic Model of the Austrian Economy (A-LMM)

Utku UTKULU, Dilek SEYMEN, Aydin ARI
Export Supply and Trade Reform: The Turkish Evidence

Ginta UZULINA
Statistical Model for Evaluating Decisions in the Context of the Common Agricultural Policy

Maria Teresa VALDERRAMA, Sylvia KAUFMANN
Modeling Credit Aggregates

Oscar Mauricio VALENCIA ARANA
Economic Growth and Optimal Income Tax Evasion

Ari VAN ASSCHE, Denise KONAN
Assessing the Benefits of Telecommunications Liberalization to Tunisia

Tran VAN HOA
ASEAN+3 Free Trade Agreement and Its Impact on Asia-Europe Trade and Economic Relations: A New Modelling Approach

Myrna VAN LEEUWEN, Andrzej TABEAU
Dutch AG-MEMOD model; Baseline Projections and Crop Policy Simulation

Viktor VÁRPALOTAI
Disinflation Simulation with Disaggregated Output Gap Model for Hungary

Gerlinde VERBIST
Taxes and Redistribution. An International Comparison Using EUROMOD, the European Microsimulationmodel

Marc VIELLE , Laurent VIGUIER, Alain HAURIE, Alain BERNARD
A Two-level Computable Equilibrium Model to Assess the Strategic Allocation of Emission Allowances Within the European Union

Mauro VISAGGIO
Does the Growth and Stability Pact Provide an Adequate and Consistent Fiscal Rule?

Baotai WANG
Stability Properties of the Nominal Income Targeting Rule in the Open Economy

Lars WANG, Hidekazu ITOH
Economic Effects of Information Technology Oriented Joint Ventures in China: A CGE Analysis

Patrick WATSON, Kyren GREIGG
Evaluating the Impact of Tariff Removals and Terms-of-Trade Changes on the Trinidad & Tobago Economy

Xavier WAUTHY , Susana PERALTA, Tanguy VAN YPERSELE
Should Countries Control International Profit Shifting?

Niven WINCHESTER, David GREENAWAY
Capital-Skill Complementarity and Rising Wage Inequality in the UK

Etti Maria WINTER, Klaus FROHBERG
Using Flexible McFadden Export Supply and Import Demand Functions for Bilateral Trade Policy Analysis

Timo WOLLMERSHAEUSER
Should Central Banks React to Exchange Rate Movements? An Analysis of the Robustness of Simple Policy Rules under Exchange Rate Uncertainty

Timo WOLLMERSHAEUSER , Robert SCHMIDT
Sterilized Foreign Exchange Market Interventions in a Chartist-Fundamentalist Exchange Rate Model

Takashi YANO , Hiroyuki KOSAKA
An International Input-Output Analysis on the Effects of Free Trade Agreements in Asia

Qin XIAO , Randolph TAN GEE KWANG
Kalman Filter Estimation of Property Price Bubbles in Seoul

Ya Ping YIN, Kanakaratnam ARJUNA
Reforming the Sri Lankan Employee Provident Fund - A "Historical" and "Counterfactual" Simulation Perspective