Tax Revenue Forecasting and Modeling Using EViews
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Intensive hands-on course for building and using econometric and microsimulation models for tax revenue forecasting.
Taxes are the main source of revenue for the government in most countries. They also produce considerable distortions in the decision of economics agents and create major allocative and distributional impacts.
Given the importance of taxes in economic life and in government policies and budget, it is crucial to properly model them. This course uses econometric modeling with EViews and microsimulation modeling with Stata.
Course objective:
- Fundamental concepts and indicators in macroeconomics building the database for such models,
- Macroeconomic environment and taxes
- Econometric tax revenue forecasting
- Practical part: A Tax Forecasting with EViews
- Introduction to Microsimulation Modelling
- Microsimulation Modelling for Policy Analysis
- Microsimulation Modes for Personal Income Tax (PIT) and social security contributions (SSC)
- Exercise in static microsimulation model for PIT and SSC