Modeling with Impact

EcoMod2008

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Wednesday July 2nd
08:30 – 09:00 Registration
09:00 – 09:15 Welcome and Opening Session (Room: Goethe)
Ali BAYAR, EcoMod
Claudia KEMFERT, DIW-Berlin
09:15 – 10:30 Plenary Session (Room: Goethe)

Chair: Durmus ÖZDEMIR, EcoMod and Istanbul Bilgi University

Forecasting Economic and Financial Variables with Global VARs
Hashem PESARAN, University of Cambridge, UK

A Small Forward-Looking Inter-Country Model: Results and Some Methodological Reflections
Wojciech CHAREMZA, University of Leicester, UK

Trade, Integration, and Productivity: Challenges to Trade Theory, Empirical Models, and Policy
Sherman ROBINSON, University of Sussex, UK

10:30 – 11:00 Refreshment Break
11:00 – 12:30 Parallel Sessions
Session A: Growth (Room: Goethe)

Chair: Bruno VAN POTTELSBERGHE

Education and Growth: Evidence from MENA countries
Rimel HEBIRI, Sami KHEDHIRI

The Two Faces of R&D-Based Innovation in a Small, Open Economy. How to Stimulate Productivity?
Taran FÆHN, Brita BYE, Leo Andreas GRÜNFELD

Filing Strategies and Patent Value
Bruno VAN POTTELSBERGHE, Nicolas VAN ZEEBROECK

Session B: General Equilibrium Modeling (Room: Meitner)

Chair: Marcel MÉRETTE

Sensitivity Analysis in Economic Simulations - a Systematic Approach
Tim MENNEL, Claudia HERMELING

Segmented Labour Market and Private Pension Decisions
Bilge ÖZTÜRK, Renginar DAYANGAÇ

An OLG-CGE Modeling Framework for Bilateral Migration
Marcel MÉRETTE, Guohan ZHU

Session C: Trade Issues (Room: Humboldt)

Chair: Knud MUNK

Economic Impact of a Potential FTA Between EU and ASEAN on the German Economy
Konstantin KHOLODILIN, Tanja FENDEL

Effects of Tariff Reform on Sudan’s Economy: Applied General Equilibrium Analysis
Azharia ELBUSHRA, Ali SALIH, Marc MULLER

On the Use of Border Taxes in Developing Countries
Knud MUNK

Session D: Regional Modeling (Room: Mozart)

Chair: Carlos AZZONI

A Regional Econometric Model for Belgium
Dirk HOORELBEKE, Delphine BASSILIÈRE, Francis BOSSIER, Frédéric CARUSO, Ingrid BRACKE

Determinants of Interregional Migration Among German States and its Implications for Reducing East-West Disparities: Results from a Panel VAR Using Efficient GMM Estimation
Timo MITZE, Björn ALECKE, Gerhard UNTIEDT

Non-spatial Government Policies and Regional Income Inequality in Brazil
Carlos AZZONI, Raul SILVEIRA-NETO

Session E: Labor Market Issues (Room: Jesse-Owens)

Chair: Aysit TANSEL

Wage Gaps in the New Zealand Labour Market
Murat GENÇ, Murray SMITH

What Drives Wage Inequality?
Michael STIMMELMAYR

Changing Returns To Education For Men And Women In A Developing Country: Turkey, 1994, 2002-2005
Aysit TANSEL

Session F: Monetary Issues (Room: Vogt)

Chair: Ferhan SALMAN

On Some Neglected Implications of the Fisher Effect
Antonio RIBBA

Do Exchange Rate Regimes Matter for Inflation Persistence? Theory and Evidence from the History of UK and US Inflation
PKG HARISCHANDRA, George CHOULIARAKIS

Can Central Bank Interventions Affect the Exchange Rate Volatility? Multivariate GARCH Approach Using Constrained Nonlinear Programming
Ferhan SALMAN, Tolga CASKURLU, Mustafa PINAR, Aslihan SALIH